Stanford 2023 AI Index: A Year of Technical Achievement, Newfound Public Scrutiny
April 7, 2023
AI has reached new and impressive technical capabilities and is starting to be incorporated into everyday life, according to the 2023 AI Index, an annual study of trends in AI at the Stanford Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI). The technology has surpassed many benchmarks, leading researchers to reevaluate some of the very ways in which it should be tested and forcing the broader public to think more critically of its associated ethical challenges.
The AI Index, led by an independent and interdisciplinary group of AI leaders from across academia and industry, is one of the most comprehensive reports on the impact and progress of AI. The AI Index tracks and evaluates AI progress through a wide range of perspectives, looking at trends in research and development, technical performance, ethics, economics, policy, public opinion, and education. The report helps to ground the AI conversation in data, enabling decision-makers to take meaningful action to advance AI in responsible and ethical ways.
The new report shows several key trends in 2022:
AI continued to post state-of-the-art results on many benchmarks, but year-over-year improvements on several are marginal. Moreover, the speed at which benchmark saturation was being reached increased. Many traditional benchmarks, like ImageNet and SQuAD, that have been used to gauge AI progress no longer seem sufficient. New, more comprehensive benchmarking suites such as BIG-bench and HELM were released to challenge these increasingly capable AI systems.
Generative models such as DALL-E 2, Stable Diffusion, and ChatGPT became part of the zeitgeist. These showed impressive capability but raised ethical issues. Text-to-image generators are routinely biased along gender dimensions, and chatbots like ChatGPT can deliver misinformation or be used for nefarious purposes.
Large language models, which have driven much recent AI progress, are getting bigger and more expensive. For example, PaLM, one of the flagship models released in 2022, cost 160 times more and was 360 times larger than GPT-2, one of the first large language models launched in 2019.
AI is helping to accelerate scientific progress. In 2022, AI models were used to control hydrogen fusion, improve the efficiency of matrix manipulation, and generate new antibodies. AI has also started building better AI. Nvidia used an AI reinforcement learning agent to improve the design of the chips that power AI systems. Similarly, Google recently used one of its large language models, PaLM, to suggest ways to improve the very same model.
AI’s impressive technical progress has captured the attention of policymakers, industry leaders, and the public alike, although 2022 was the first time in a decade where AI investment levels cooled.
An analysis of the legislative proceedings of 127 countries showed that the number of bills containing “artificial intelligence” passed into law grew from just 1 in 2016 to 37 in 2022. These laws ranged from mitigating the risks of AI-led automation to using AI for weather forecasting.
The proportion of companies adopting AI has plateaued over the past few years; however, the companies that have adopted AI continue to pull ahead. Companies that have embedded AI into their business offerings have realized both cost decreases and revenue increases. The AI capabilities most likely to be embedded by businesses are robotic process automation, computer vision, and virtual agents.
AI-related public opinion varies greatly by country. Chinese citizens feel much more positively about the benefits of AI products and services than Americans. Americans are excited about AI’s potential to make society better, save time, and improve efficiency but are concerned about labor automation, surveillance, and decreases in human connection.
For the first time in the last decade, year-over-year private investment in AI decreased. Global AI private investment was $91.9 billion in 2022, a 26.7% decrease from 2021. The total number of AI-related funding events as well as the number of newly funded AI companies likewise decreased. Still, AI private investment was 18 times greater than in 2013.
“We are in a time of enormous excitement – even hype – around AI,” said Katrina Ligett, professor in the School of Computer Science and Engineering at the Hebrew University and a member of the AI Index Steering Committee. “This makes it all the more important that information like that contained in the AI Index is available to decision-makers and to the general public, to allow us to ground more debates in facts, and to highlight the areas where data about AI and its reach and impacts is not available.”
Felix Hoddinott, the Chief Analytics Officer, Analytical Innovation at Quantexa explained, “Quantexa believes decisions at strategic, operational, and tactical levels rely on context to create confidence. Context on what the data means. Confidence that your data is meaningful. And the ability to connect that data from siloed and scattered points and turn it into a trusted, reusable resource. AI & ML can’t instantly automate all your decisions, but with the right data, in the right context, with the resulting connections, it can make decision making easier, quicker, and more informed. The world’s leading organizations are turning to Quantexa to use the speed and accuracy of its Decision Intelligence Platform to establish confidence in their data, reach new levels of organizational efficiency, and build business resiliency.”
The AI Index collaborates with many different organizations to track progress in artificial intelligence. These include the Center for Security and Emerging Technology at Georgetown University, LinkedIn, NetBase Quid, Lightcast, and McKinsey. The 2023 report also features more data and analysis original to the AI Index team than ever before. This year’s report included new analysis on foundation models, including their countries of origin and training costs, the environmental impact of AI systems, K-12 AI education, and public opinion trends in AI. The AI Index also broadened its tracking of global AI legislation from 25 countries in 2022 to 127 in 2023.